Ongoing reports and headlines highlight a mixed economic outlook, with some sectors showing resilience while others face headwinds due to tariffs and uncertainty.

The recent contraction of the U.S. economy by 0.3% in the first quarter of 2025 may appear modest on paper, but for individuals approaching or in retirement, it can serve as a key signal. Even small shifts in economic indicators can have ripple effects across investment markets, interest rates, consumer confidence, and ultimately, your retirement income security.

At Agemy Financial Strategies, we understand that affluent retirees and pre-retirees can’t afford to make reactive decisions based on short-term headlines. Instead, it’s about strategic foresight, proper risk management, and intentional wealth preservation. Here’s what you need to know.

A Closer Look at the Q1 Contraction

The 0.3% dip in GDP followed a period of steady growth, raising concerns about the broader economic trend. Here’s what contributed to the slowdown:

• Surge in Imports: In anticipation of new tariffs, businesses ramped up imports, widening the trade deficit and dragging down GDP.
• Reduced Government Spending: Declines in both defense and non-defense expenditures negatively impacted demand in related sectors.
• Job Growth Slowdown: While still positive, monthly job gains dropped from 209,000 in Q4 2024 to 152,000 in Q1 2025, signaling weaker consumer momentum.

While these may seem like economic metrics for policymakers, they directly relate to retirement strategies, especially for those with significant assets at stake.

Key Areas Where Economic Slowdowns Impact Your Retirement Plan

1. Investment Strategy and Portfolio Diversification

Volatility and contractions in the economy often hit equity markets first—and hardest. For retirees, the priority isn’t chasing returns, but protecting wealth while maintaining sufficient growth.

• Evaluate your exposure to equities, bonds, and alternative assets.
• Consider dividend-generating or inflation-hedged investments.
• Avoid the “sequence of returns” risk by maintaining enough cash or liquid assets to help avoid drawing down principal during market dips.

Agemy Financial Strategies can help review your current allocation and stress test your portfolio against different market scenarios.

2. Interest Rates, Inflation, and Income Streams

In a cooling economy, the Fed may shift to lower interest rates to encourage spending. While this could help borrowing costs, it also has implications for:

• Fixed-income yields (which may decline)
• Inflation pressures, especially if supply-chain constraints persist
• Real purchasing power, particularly for retirees on fixed incomes

It’s essential to align your income strategy with both current interest rates and inflation forecasts. Agemy helps clients integrate TIPS, laddered bonds, and diversified income vehicles to protect purchasing power.

3. Tax Planning in an Evolving Landscape

Lower GDP often prompts fiscal policy adjustments, including potential tax reforms. As your retirement income sources vary—from IRAs to pensions to capital gains—it’s important to assess how changing tax rates might impact:

• Roth conversions
• Required Minimum Distributions (RMDs)
• Capital gains harvesting
• Estate and gift tax exposure

Our fiduciary advisors at Agemy are experienced in proactive tax strategy to help ensure your income remains as tax-efficient as possible, no matter the economic cycle.

4. Estate Planning Amid Market Volatility

A drop in asset values might affect the total size of your estate. If this impacts your legacy goals, it may be time to:

• Reassess your gifting strategy
• Consider charitable giving in a lower-valued asset environment
• Update trusts, wills, or beneficiary designations to reflect changes

Volatility can create estate planning opportunities, especially if you anticipate a market rebound or plan to transfer assets to heirs soon.

5. Rising Healthcare Costs and Longevity Risk

In times of economic pressure, federal healthcare funding could face cuts. Meanwhile, costs for long-term care and medical expenses continue to rise, regardless of the economic climate.

A sound retirement plan must account for:

• Long-term care insurance
• Health Savings Accounts (HSAs)
• Medicare and supplemental coverage strategies

Planning for healthcare costs early can help prevent sudden financial strain later.

How to Navigate Economic Uncertainty with Confidence

1. Conduct Regular Portfolio Checkups

Just like your annual physical, your portfolio needs a checkup too. Reviewing it during times of uncertainty helps ensure you’re not overexposed to risk and that your investments are working in your favor.

2. Reaffirm Your Financial Goals

Are your current retirement strategies still aligned with your goals? As economic conditions shift, your financial objectives might need to be adjusted. Agemy’s advisors can help you identify blind spots and fine-tune your plan.

3. Maintain a Long-Term Perspective

Economic contractions, no matter how uncomfortable, are part of a normal business cycle. Staying the course and focusing on your long-term goals helps avoid impulsive decisions that can hurt your retirement outlook.

4. Work with a Trusted Fiduciary Partner

At Agemy Financial Strategies, our fiduciary duty is to put your best interests first. We offer personalized wealth planning that evolves with you and the broader market landscape.

Final Thoughts: Your Retirement Deserves a Resilient Strategy

The 0.3% GDP contraction in Q1 2025 is a reminder that even mild economic changes can have real implications for those nearing retirement. The good news? You don’t have to navigate this alone.

With over 30 years of experience guiding clients through all market conditions, Agemy Financial Strategies helps affluent families, professionals, and retirees adapt, preserve, and grow their wealth in the face of change.

How Agemy Financial Strategies Can Help

In uncertain economic times, your retirement strategy needs more than guesswork—it requires deep knowledge, personalization, and foresight. That’s where Agemy Financial Strategies comes in.

With over three decades of experience guiding affluent individuals and families, our team provides comprehensive, fiduciary-based financial planning focused on long-term security and short-term flexibility.

Here’s how we help you stay on course—even when the economy wavers:

• Customized Retirement Income Planning: We analyze all your income streams—Social Security, pensions, investments—and structure a reliable, tax-efficient plan to help cover your expenses for life.
• Strategic Investment Management: Our advisors actively monitor market conditions and adjust your investment mix to help protect against downside risk while capturing growth opportunities when available.
• Proactive Tax Optimization: We build tax strategies into every part of your plan, including Roth conversions, tax-loss harvesting, and distribution planning to help you keep more of what you’ve earned.
• Healthcare & Long-Term Care Strategy: Rising healthcare costs are one of retirement’s biggest threats. We help you prepare with smart coverage options, LTC planning, and health savings strategies.
• Legacy and Estate Planning Coordination: Your wealth should support not only your lifestyle but also your legacy. We collaborate with estate attorneys and CPAs to help align your goals with your estate structure.
• Stress Testing for Peace of Mind: We run your plan through multiple economic and market scenarios to help ensure your strategy holds up, even if the economy doesn’t.

A Plan That Evolves as Life and the Market Do

At Agemy Financial Strategies, we don’t believe in one-size-fits-all retirement planning. Instead, we take time to understand your lifestyle, your priorities, and your legacy goals, building a roadmap that adapts with you and the world around you.

Ready to strengthen your retirement plan with a team that puts your best interests first?

Schedule a no-obligation consultation today, and let’s build a future that’s as resilient as it is rewarding.

Frequently Asked Questions

Q: What if my retirement portfolio lost value due to the Q1 slowdown?
A: Don’t panic. Reassess your asset allocation and consult with a fiduciary advisor. Market dips can be an opportunity for rebalancing and tax optimization.

Q: Should I consider a Roth conversion now?
A: If you anticipate higher taxes later or if your portfolio temporarily dips, a Roth conversion may be advantageous. Always consult with your advisor before moving forward.

Q: How can I help protect against inflation in retirement?
A: Diversify into inflation-resistant assets like TIPS or real estate. Consider dynamic withdrawal strategies that adjust to inflation.

Q: What healthcare costs should I plan for in retirement?
A: Medicare, supplemental insurance, and long-term care expenses. Begin planning early to help ensure you can cover these costs without compromising your lifestyle.

Q: Is now a good time to gift assets to my heirs?
A: If asset values are temporarily down, it could be an ideal time to transfer wealth while minimizing tax implications. Discuss this with your financial advisor.

Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. Please consult with the fiduciary advisors at Agemy Financial Strategies before making any investment decisions.