The K-Shaped Economy and How It May Affect Your Tax Return

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A K-shaped economy means different groups of Americans are experiencing very different financial realities, and that split is now showing up clearly in 2025 income and 2026 tax return outcomes. 

If you are a high earner, investor, or homeowner, your tax picture in this environment may look very different from that of workers with flat wages and rising everyday costs.

What Is a K-Shaped Economy?

In a K-shaped economy, some people and industries move upward, with rising incomes, investment gains, and job stability, while others trend downward, facing stagnant wages, job insecurity, and higher living costs.

Key characteristics include:

  • Strong profits and stock gains in sectors like technology, healthcare, and AI-related infrastructure.
  • Slower wage growth or job losses in areas such as manufacturing, some services, and housing-related industries.
  • Rising wealth for households that own financial assets or real estate, while non-owners struggle with higher prices and limited savings.

This divergence has intensified in recent years as stock markets and data-center construction surge, even as many families report weak confidence and pressure from everyday expenses.

How the K-Shaped Economy Shows Up in Today’s Tax Refunds

K Shaped Economy

The same forces driving the K-shaped split in income and wealth are now visible in 2026 tax refunds, especially under the “One Big Beautiful Bill” tax changes enacted in 2025.

Recent analysis shows:

  • The “average” refund is expected to rise to roughly the high-$3,000s, boosted by new and expanded tax breaks.
  • The typical taxpayer may see an increase of about $700–$750 in their refund compared with last year.
  • Higher-income households are projected to receive disproportionately larger refund increases, often several thousand dollars, due to expanded deductions and credits that scale with income, investment activity, and itemized deductions.
  • Lower-income households (roughly under $33,000 of income) may see only a modest additional refund, on the order of a few tens of dollars on average, despite facing greater strain from inflation and housing costs.

One study highlighted that households in the top 5% of earners could see their refunds rise by nearly $3,800 on average, while the lowest 20% may gain less than $20 compared to last year. That is a textbook example of a K-shaped outcome: the same tax law produces very different benefits depending on where you sit on the “K.”

Who May See Larger Refunds and Why

If you’re on the “upper” leg of the K, several factors may combine to boost your 2026 refund.

1. Higher and More Volatile Income: Many higher-earning professionals have seen wages, bonuses, or equity compensation rebound with strong sectors like technology, finance, and specialized services. Volatile income can create:

  • More opportunities to use above-the-line deductions and retirement contributions.
  • Larger itemized deductions (for example, mortgage interest and state taxes).
  • More room to benefit from phase-ins or expansions in new tax incentives tied to income or investment activity.

2. Expanded Deductions, Especially SALT: The 2025 legislation substantially lifted the cap on state and local tax (SALT) deductions to around $40,000 for many households, up from the prior $10,000 cap. While this phases out for the very top earners, higher-income taxpayers in high-tax states stand to benefit significantly.​

That can mean:

  • A larger itemized deduction total.
  • Reduced taxable income.
  • A bigger gap between taxes withheld and final tax due, resulting in a larger refund.

3. Asset Ownership: Stocks and Real Estate: Because the wealthiest 10% of Americans own the vast majority of the stock market, the strong performance of large technology and AI-related names has primarily lifted their balance sheets. That has several tax implications:

  • More capital gains to manage, but also more opportunities for tax-loss harvesting or strategic realization.
  • Greater use of tax-advantaged accounts (IRAs, 401(k)s, HSAs) thanks to higher incomes.
  • The ability to time income and deductions to maximize new tax breaks.

Put together, these dynamics mean many higher-income households will see refunds rise by hundreds or even thousands of dollars more than the average.

Who May See Smaller Refunds and Why

On the lower leg of the K, workers struggling with flat pay, reduced hours, or rising costs often experience the tax system very differently.

Key pressures include:

  • Slower wage growth compared to inflation, eroding real take-home pay.
  • Less room in the budget to contribute to retirement accounts or health savings accounts, which means fewer deductions.
  • Limited itemized deductions because they rent instead of owning, or live in areas with lower property and income taxes.

As a result:

  • Many lower- and moderate-income households rely primarily on the standard deduction.
  • Their main tax benefits come from refundable or partially refundable credits such as the Child Tax Credit or Earned Income Tax Credit, which may not have expanded as much as higher-income deductions.
  • The incremental refund increase from the latest law may be small, sometimes only a few dollars per month when averaged out.

In one widely cited analysis, the lowest earners saw an average increase in refunds of around $18, compared with hundreds or thousands of dollars for higher-earning groups. That difference amplifies the feeling that the economy, and the tax code, are working better for some than for others.

Practical Ways the K-Shaped Economy May Affect Your Tax Return

K Shaped Economy

How all of this shows up on your own return depends on your specific income, assets, and life stage. Here are several practical channels where the K-shaped environment can influence what you owe or receive.

1. Your Wage and Bonus Pattern

If your income has increased or become more variable, through raises, overtime, commissions, or bonuses, you may see:

  • Higher total tax owed for the year as you move into higher brackets.
  • Withholding that does not keep pace, which may reduce or eliminate your refund unless you adjust your Form W-4.
  • More value from planning moves like deferring bonus income, increasing retirement contributions, or bunching deductions.

Conversely, if your wages have stagnated or hours have been cut, your tax liability may not rise much, but you also have fewer levers to reduce it.

2. Investment Gains and Losses

Households with meaningful investment portfolios, stocks, mutual funds, ETFs, or rental properties are seeing very different tax realities than those living paycheck to paycheck.

  • Strong markets can generate substantial capital gains, which increase your tax bill unless offset by realized losses.
  • Tax-loss harvesting can help investors on the “upper” leg of the K manage their liability strategically, sometimes turning a large tax bill into a more modest one or even preserving a refund.
  • If you don’t own assets, you miss those planning opportunities but also avoid the added complexity and potential surprise bills.

3. Housing, Debt, and Deductions

Homeowners with larger mortgages and higher property taxes often benefit more from itemizing deductions, especially with a higher SALT cap. Renters typically cannot access those same deductions.

This can affect your return by:

  • Increasing the deduction for mortgage interest and property taxes for homeowners, which can translate into bigger refunds.
  • Leaving renters with the standard deduction, which, while helpful, may not grow as quickly as the new itemized opportunities for higher-income homeowners.

4. Small Business and Gig Work

The K-shaped economy has also widened the gap between thriving and struggling small businesses. Some owners in growing niches are enjoying record years, while others are fighting just to break even.

For your tax return, that can mean:

  • Larger deductions if you can write off business expenses, retirement contributions, or health insurance premiums.
  • Eligibility for qualified business income (QBI) deductions in certain circumstances.
  • More complexity in estimated payments and year-end tax reconciliation increases the risk of underpayment penalties without careful planning.

Workers in gig roles or side hustles often face self-employment taxes and may miss employer benefits such as 401(k) matches or pre-tax health coverage, which can shrink refunds if not carefully managed.

5. Tax Credits and Phase-Outs

Tax credits, especially those tied to children, education, and work, are often structured with income thresholds and phase-outs.

In a K-shaped economy:

  • Lower-income households may not have enough taxable income to fully benefit from certain nonrefundable credits.
  • Middle-income households may qualify for a mix of credits and deductions, but see only modest refund changes year to year.
  • Higher-income households may lose some credits due to phase-outs but gain more from expanded deductions and planning strategies under the new law.

The net result is that the same law produces widely different tax outcomes, depending on whether your income and wealth place you on the upward or downward branch of the “K.”

How Agemy Financial Strategies Can Help You Navigate the K-Shaped Economy

K Shaped Economy

You cannot control the shape of the overall economy, but you can control how prepared you are for the opportunities and risks it presents. Agemy Financial Strategies focuses on building tax-smart, resilient plans that respond to changing economic and legislative conditions.

Here are ways a guided approach can help in today’s environment:

1. Integrated Tax and Investment Planning: Agemy models the tax impact of your portfolio decisions, such as realizing gains, harvesting losses, or shifting between asset classes, before you act, so you can see how those moves may change your tax bill and refund. The goal is to help maximize after-tax outcomes, not just headline returns.

2. Tailored Strategies for Your “Leg” of the K: Whether your household is experiencing strong growth or feeling squeezed, a customized plan can:

  • Help higher earners manage bracket creep, deductions, and complex returns tied to equity compensation, business income, or large portfolios.
  • Help those under pressure prioritize cash flow, emergency savings, and the most impactful tax moves available at their income level.

3. Coordinated Professional Support: Agemy works alongside your CPA and estate planning attorney so that tax planning, retirement planning, and legacy planning reinforce each other rather than working at cross purposes. This coordination can be especially important when new legislation changes deductions, credits, or estate thresholds.

4. Long-Term, Tax-Smart Portfolio Design: In a world where economic and tax conditions evolve unevenly, Agemy emphasizes diversified asset allocation, thoughtful use of tax-advantaged accounts, and regular reviews to keep your strategy aligned with your goals and the current law. That can make your future refunds and tax bills more predictable, and your overall financial life simpler.

If you’re unsure which side of the “K” your household is currently on, or how the latest tax law might affect your 2026 refund, this is an ideal time to review your situation with a fiduciary financial professional. 

Agemy Financial Strategies can help you clarify where you stand, identify the levers you can pull, and design a plan that aims to keep more of what you earn in any economic environment.

Contact us today at agemy.com.

Investment advisory services are offered through Agemy Wealth Advisors, LLC, a Registered Investment Advisor and fiduciary to its clients. Agemy Financial Strategies, Inc. is a franchisee of Retirement Income Source®, LLC. Agemy Financial Strategies, Inc. and Agemy Wealth Advisors, LLC are associated entities. Agemy Financial Strategies, Inc. and Agemy Wealth Advisors, LLC entities are not associated with Retirement Income Source®, LLC. The information contained in this e-mail is intended for the exclusive use of the addressee(s) and may contain confidential or privileged information. Any review, reliance or distribution by others or forwarding without the express permission of the sender is strictly prohibited. If you are not the intended recipient, please contact the sender and delete all copies. To the extent permitted by law, Agemy Financial Strategies, Inc and Agemy Wealth Advisors, LLC, and Retirement Income Source, LLC do not accept any liability arising from the use or retransmission of the information in this e-mail.
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What the Latest FOMC Meeting Means for Your Money

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The latest Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting delivered the Fed’s first quarter-point move in a direction many markets had been expecting: the Committee lowered the target range for the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to 4.00%–4.25%. 

The decision, and the supporting materials released alongside it, reflected a shift in the Fed’s assessment of the U.S. outlook: growth is moderating, job gains have slowed, unemployment has edged up (though it remains low), and inflation has moved up and remains “somewhat elevated.” The Fed framed the cut as a response to a changed balance of risks, while emphasizing data dependence going forward. 

Below, we unpack what happened, why it happened, how markets reacted, and most importantly for investors, what practical steps you should consider now.

The Headline: A 25 BPS Cut, But Not a Pivot to Easy Policy

At the last meeting, the FOMC reduced the federal funds target range by 25 basis points to 4.00%–4.25%, and the Board also lowered the interest rate paid on reserve balances to 4.15%. The implementation note included operational details for open-market operations and standing repo/reverse repo parameters, signaling the Fed wants a smooth operational transition while keeping tools in place. 

Importantly, the statement was careful: the Committee said it “decided to lower the target range… in light of the shift in the balance of risks,” and that it will “carefully assess incoming data, the evolving outlook, and the balance of risks” before making further adjustments. That language is another reminder that the Fed is data-dependent, not pre-committed to a specific path of cuts.

One dissenter (Stephen Miran) preferred a larger cut (50 bps). The split vote highlights that while the Committee moved, views inside the Fed on the pace and size of easing still vary.

Why the Fed Cut: Growth Eased, Jobs Softened, Inflation Persistent

The Fed explicitly pointed to three dynamics that shaped its decision:

  • Slowing activity / softer labor market: Recent indicators showed growth moderating, job gains slowing, and the unemployment rate edging higher, evidence that downside risks to employment had increased.
  • Inflation remains above goal: The Fed noted inflation “has moved up and remains somewhat elevated.” That phrasing signals the inflation battle isn’t fully won; inflation still matters to policy decisions. 
  • Balance of risks shifted: Combining softer labor markets with still-elevated inflation changed the Committee’s assessment of risks. The Fed judged the balance had shifted enough to warrant a modest easing to support employment without abdicating its inflation goal. 

Fed Chair Jerome Powell reinforced this message in public remarks after the meeting: the Fed moved because the balance of risks changed, but the Committee remains highly attentive to inflation and will adjust policy if risks to its dual mandate re-emerge. In short, a cautious, conditional cut. 

What the Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) Tells Us

Disclaimer: This material is for educational purposes only and does not constitute individualized financial, legal, or tax advice. Consult your professional fiduciary advisors about your specific situation and state-specific rules.

The Fed publishes participants’ economic projections with meetings that include a SEP. The latest projections are especially instructive because they reveal how policymakers see the path for growth, unemployment, inflation, and the appropriate federal funds rate over the coming years.

Key takeaways from the SEP:

  • Median forecasts show a slower growth profile for 2025 (real GDP growth projections around the mid-1% range) and a modestly higher unemployment rate in 2025 than earlier expected. 
  • Projected inflation (PCE) for 2025 is materially above 2% in the median (PCE around 3.0% in 2025 in the SEP), with gradual easing over 2026–2027 toward 2%. That helps explain why the Fed isn’t ready to cut aggressively. 
  • The “appropriate policy path” implied by participants is lower than current policy at the end of the year: the SEP medians suggest participants expect the midpoint of the appropriate federal funds rate to be lower than where the Fed set it immediately after the cut; indicating the Fed (and many participants) anticipate further gradual easing over the coming quarters, conditional on data. 

Put simply: the Fed cut this meeting, but participants expect a multi-step glide down later in the forecast horizon – not an immediate return to pre-tightening rates.

Market and Real-Economy Reactions (Quick Summary)

Markets saw the cut and the Fed’s cautious posture as confirmation that the easing cycle has started but won’t be precipitous. A few observable reactions:

What This Means for Different Financial Priorities

Below are straightforward implications for common concerns – investments, borrowing, and planning.

For Investors: Reposition Thoughtfully, Avoid Overreacting

  • Fixed income: The Fed’s cut already reduced short-term yields; however, the SEP’s expectation of gradual easing and still-elevated inflation suggests term premium and inflation expectations will continue to drive long yields. For those with bond allocations, consider a barbell or laddered approach to capture current yields while keeping duration manageable. A ladder can help reduce reinvestment risk if rates fall further, while a short-to-intermediate allocation cushions price sensitivity. 
  • Equities: Lower policy rates tend to be supportive for equities, but the Fed’s caution implies growth remains uneven. Consider maintaining diversified equity exposures and rebalancing to lock in gains and help manage risk rather than chasing short-term rallies.
  • Inflation protection: Because the Fed explicitly acknowledged inflation remains above target, allocations to inflation hedges (TIPS, real assets) remain prudent for investors with multi-year horizons. 

For Homeowners and Prospective Buyers: Evaluate Refinancing and Mortgage Timing

  • Refinancing: If you have a mortgage with a rate materially above current market options, a refinance can still make sense, but shop carefully. Mortgage rates follow the 10-year Treasury and can move independently of the Fed’s short-term policy moves. Getting multiple lender quotes and locking when a clear economic case exists is recommended.
  • Homebuyers: Lower short-term rates can ease some borrowing costs, but the most important driver of mortgage rates remains long-term yields. If you’re house-hunting, focus on affordability and lock strategies rather than assuming a rapid fall in rates.

For Savers and Cash Management: Yields On Short Cash Have Improved, But May Fall

  • High-quality cash and short-term instruments (MMFs, short treasuries) still offer attractive yields relative to historic norms. The Fed has lowered the top of the target range, and deposit rates may follow. If you rely on cash income, ladder short-term CDs, or consider short-duration bond funds, but be mindful that yields may drift lower if further cuts occur.

For Business Owners and Borrowers: Plan for Modest Easing But Keep Contingency Plans

  • Expect modest relief in borrowing costs over time, but don’t bank on a flood of cheap credit. If you’re financing capital projects, consider negotiating terms now and include covenants that allow flexibility if rates move more or less than expected.

Actions to Consider 

  1. Review your liquidity ladder: If you rely on short-term cash returns, check CD and MMF maturities and plan reinvestments to avoid locking in at an inopportune time. Consider staggering maturities over the next 6–18 months. 
  2. Re-assess mortgage decisions with a rate quote, not headlines: Get 2–3 lender quotes if refinancing is on your radar. Use forward-rate observations (10-yr T-note) and lender lock windows to decide whether to lock.
  3. Don’t change your long-term asset allocation on headline moves: The Fed’s action is meaningful but incremental; rebalancing to long-term targets and harvesting tax losses/gains remains a sound approach. 
  4. Evaluate inflation exposure: If your portfolio has little inflation hedging (TIPS, commodities, real estate exposure), now is a moment to decide whether to add modest protection given the SEP’s above-target inflation forecast.
  5. If you’re near retirement, run a cash-flow stress test: Test how a sequence of modest cuts (and the economic slowdown the Fed is responding to) would affect withdrawal rates, required income, and portfolio longevity.

Our Recommendations 

At Agemy Financial Strategies, we believe in measured responses that reflect both the Fed’s cut and its caution:

  • Conservative income clients: Maintain laddered short-term instruments to help capture current yields; avoid extending duration aggressively just to chase slightly higher prices if rates drop further.
  • Growth clients: Use any market volatility to rebalance, the Fed’s move supports risk assets in the medium term, but the economic slowdown and inflation dynamics mean selectivity matters.
  • Borrowers and homeowners: If a refinance saves materially after fees, act. If the savings are marginal, prioritize flexibility (shorter lock, no prepayment penalties).
  • Clients with near-term liabilities: Keep a larger cash buffer. The SEP shows some uncertainty ahead; cash gives optionality.

We’ll continue reviewing portfolios with these principles: preserve capital, harvest opportunities created by market repricings, and maintain flexibility given the Fed’s data-dependent approach.

The Path Forward: What to Watch Next

Three things matter most for the Fed’s future moves, and for your finances:

  1. Inflation readings (especially PCE and core PCE): If inflation retreats toward 2% consistently, the Fed will have room for more cuts. If inflation reaccelerates, cuts could stall. 
  2. Labor market indicators (payrolls, unemployment, wage growth): The Fed noted that downside risks to employment have risen. Continued softening could lead to more easing; resilience could keep policy tighter for longer.
  3. Financial conditions / market signals: Credit spreads, long-term yields, and consumer sentiment will influence how fast or slow the Fed moves.

Expect the Fed to remain data-driven and cautious: the committee signaled a modest start to easing, but the timeline and scale depend on incoming data and how inflation responds.

Final Thoughts: Plan, Don’t Panic

The latest FOMC meeting marks the beginning of an easing cycle, but a careful one. For investors, that means the environment is shifting in a way that may offer opportunities (refinancing, modest equity upside) while still requiring prudence (inflation not yet tamed, growth decelerating).

At Agemy Financial Strategies, our emphasis is straightforward: use this window to review your plan, lock in clear wins (like a strong refinance), maintain portfolio diversification, and keep cash/liquidity aligned with your near-term needs.

If you’d like, we can run a personalized review based on your portfolio, mortgage terms, or cash needs and lay out specific options for the scenarios the Fed outlined in the SEP.

Contact us today at agemy.com.

Investment advisory services are offered through Agemy Wealth Advisors, LLC, a Registered Investment Advisor and fiduciary to its clients. Agemy Financial Strategies, Inc. is a franchisee of Retirement Income Source®, LLC. Agemy Financial Strategies, Inc. and Agemy Wealth Advisors, LLC are associated entities. Agemy Financial Strategies, Inc. and Agemy Wealth Advisors, LLC entities are not associated with Retirement Income Source®, LLC

The information contained in this e-mail is intended for the exclusive use of the addressee(s) and may contain confidential or privileged information. Any review, reliance or distribution by others or forwarding without the express permission of the sender is strictly prohibited. If you are not the intended recipient, please contact the sender and delete all copies. To the extent permitted by law, Agemy Financial Strategies, Inc and Agemy Wealth Advisors, LLC, and Retirement Income Source, LLC do not accept any liability arising from the use or retransmission of the information in this e-mail.

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What Retirees Need to Know About Investing in Precious Metals

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In today’s uncertain economic landscape, many retirees and near-retirees are asking a critical question: Should I invest in precious metals? With gold recently hitting all-time highs, silver rebounding in demand, and industrial metals like platinum and palladium playing growing roles in the global economy, it’s no wonder that interest in this asset class has surged.

Central banks around the world continue to stockpile gold, while industrial demand for silver, platinum, and palladium is rising due to clean energy technology, automotive manufacturing, and electronics. But before you rush to add metals to your portfolio, it’s essential to understand the “why” behind your investment and the right way to go about it.

In this blog, we’ll walk you through the different ways to own precious metals, their role in a diversified retirement strategy, and how to avoid some of the most common (and costly) mistakes.

Purpose vs. Performance: What’s Your “Why”?

The first and most important step when considering precious metals is to clarify your purpose.

  • Do you want to protect yourself against economic collapse or currency debasement?
  • Are you hoping to benefit from price appreciation and hedge against inflation?
  • Are you seeking exposure to industrial growth trends?

Understanding your “why” will determine how you should own metals and which metals make sense for you. Retirees often confuse these motivations and end up owning the wrong type or the wrong form of metal investment.

The Four Main Ways to Own Precious Metals

1. Physical Metals – For Protection and Tangible Security

If your concern is systemic financial collapse, bank failures, hyperinflation, or global instability, physical metals like gold, silver, platinum, and palladium are your safest bet. These are not about making quick profits; they’re about preserving wealth.

Best Practices for Physical Precious Metal Ownership:

  • Store them in a location you can access, “close enough to ride your bicycle to,” as one expert puts it.
  • Focus on recognizable coins or bars: American Gold Eagles, Canadian Silver Maple Leafs, or recognized platinum and palladium bullion coins.
  • Avoid collectible coins with high markups; stick to bullion with known purity.
  • Use after-tax money, as metals held in an IRA can’t be accessed easily in an emergency.

Physical metals are a form of insurance, not a growth asset.

2. ETFs – For Exposure and Diversification

For those looking to hedge against inflation or lower volatility in their portfolio, exchange-traded funds (ETFs) for gold, silver, platinum, and palladium offer a practical option.

Allocated vs. Unallocated ETFs:

  • Allocated ETFs physically hold the metal in a vault assigned specifically to you.
  • Unallocated ETFs (such as GLD for gold or SLV for silver) may hold contracts or pooled assets, not specific bars or coins.

If security matters to you, choose allocated ETFs for true exposure.

3. Mining Stocks & Royalty Companies – For Growth and Risk

Mining stocks and royalty & streaming companies provide leverage to metal prices and can deliver outsized returns, but at a much higher risk.

  • Gold and Silver Miners: Can see strong gains in metal bull markets but often underperform in bear markets.
  • Platinum and Palladium Producers: Often tied to industrial demand, especially automotive catalytic converters and hydrogen energy.
  • Royalty & Streaming Companies: These invest in income-producing streams from mines and often provide more consistent dividends than miners themselves.

This approach is best for speculative investors who understand market cycles and have a higher risk tolerance.

Timing Is Everything: Precious Metals’ Historical Cycles

Precious metals often move in long cycles. Gold and silver can soar during monetary instability, while platinum and palladium are more sensitive to industrial demand cycles.

For example:

Buying at the top of a run can lead to years of underperformance, so understanding these cycles is key.

The Retirement Equation: TR = I + G

The key to a strong retirement portfolio is understanding the equation:

Total Return (TR) = Income (I) + Growth (G)

Precious metals offer growth potential but little to no income. That’s why they should be a piece of your portfolio, not the whole puzzle. A robust retirement strategy combines income-generating assets with growth-oriented investments like metals.

Should You Go for the Gold… and Silver, Platinum, or Palladium?

The answer is: It depends.

  • Insurance against catastrophe → Consider holding physical metals in small, recognizable denominations.
  • Inflation hedging and volatility control → Explore allocated metal ETFs as part of a diversified IRA.
  • Speculative growth → Consider select mining or royalty companies tied to metals you believe will see strong demand.

No matter your goal, remember: purpose before performance.

Where Agemy Financial Strategies Comes In

At Agemy Financial Strategies, we don’t sell precious metals, but we do help clients incorporate them into a well-balanced retirement plan.

Here’s how we can help:

  • Clarify your purpose: Are you investing for protection, performance, or industrial growth trends?
  • Evaluate your current holdings: Is your metal allocation right for your needs?
  • Balance risk and reward: Determine the right proportion of growth (G) and income (I) for your long-term goals.
  • Provide access to smart exposure: Including ETFs with allocated metals and well-performing royalty companies.
  • Build a diversified income strategy: So you’re not reliant on metals alone.

With over 30 years of experience, we help clients retire and stay retired well. Our Retirement Readiness Report and Financial Defense Guide can empower you to invest with purpose.

Ready to Build a Smarter, Safer Retirement Strategy?

Whether you’re just beginning to plan or reassessing your current investment strategy, Agemy Financial Strategies is here to help. Let’s build a plan that reflects your goals, balances risk, and includes the right mix of assets for your future.

Contact us today to schedule a complimentary consultation. 

FAQs About Precious Metals and Retirement

1. Are precious metals safe investments for retirement?
They can serve as a hedge against inflation, currency risk, and market instability, but they should be a portion, not the core, of your retirement strategy.

2. Should I buy physical metals or ETFs?
It depends on your purpose. Buy physical metals for wealth preservation and security. Choose allocated ETFs for liquidity and easy diversification.

3. Can I hold metals in my IRA?
Yes, but there are restrictions for physical metals. ETFs are often the more practical choice for retirement accounts.

4. How much should I have in precious metals?
A general rule is no more than 5–10% of your portfolio, depending on your goals and risk tolerance.

5. Why invest in metals beyond gold?
Silver has both investment and industrial uses, platinum is critical for clean energy and automotive technology, and palladium is essential for emissions control systems, each offering unique growth drivers beyond gold’s role as a monetary hedge.

Investment advisory services are offered through Agemy Wealth Advisors, LLC, a Registered Investment Advisor and fiduciary to its clients. Agemy Financial Strategies, Inc. is a franchisee of Retirement Income Source®, LLC. Agemy Financial Strategies, Inc. and Agemy Wealth Advisors, LLC are associated entities. Agemy Financial Strategies, Inc. and Agemy Wealth Advisors, LLC entities are not associated with Retirement Income Source®, LLC

The information contained in this e-mail is intended for the exclusive use of the addressee(s) and may contain confidential or privileged information. Any review, reliance or distribution by others or forwarding without the express permission of the sender is strictly prohibited. If you are not the intended recipient, please contact the sender and delete all copies. To the extent permitted by law, Agemy Financial Strategies, Inc and Agemy Wealth Advisors, LLC, and Retirement Income Source, LLC do not accept any liability arising from the use or retransmission of the information in this e-mail.

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The Gold Market’s Wild Ride: A Tale of Tariffs and Traders

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The past week has been a whirlwind for the gold market, with prices swinging dramatically based on shifting headlines from the White House. This event offers crucial insights for investors, particularly the key difference between speculative futures trading and long-term physical gold investing.

A Rollercoaster of News

The recent volatility began on Friday when a Trump administration ruling was made public, indicating that one-kilogram and 100-ounce gold bars would be subject to new tariffs. This news blindsided dealers and sent a shockwave through the market. Gold futures contracts on New York’s Comex exchange immediately soared to a record high of over $3,514 an ounce, as futures traders sought a “safe haven” amid rising economic uncertainty. The gold price had already risen around 30% this year due to concerns about U.S. economic policy.

However, the rally was short-lived. A White House official promised an executive order to clarify the “misinformation” about the tariffs, causing prices to fall. On Monday, August 11, December gold futures dropped as much as 2.4%, or $80.50, to settle around $3,410.80 per ounce. This marked the biggest one-day percentage decline since May 12, according to Dow Jones Market Data. The announcement that gold would not be subject to tariffs was made by President Trump shortly after gold prices settled for the day.

The price action wasn’t just limited to the U.S. market. Spot gold also dropped, pushing the premium between New York Comex futures and London bullion back to a normalized level. This period of confusion highlighted how sensitive the global gold market is to official policy and the rapid reactions of speculators.

What This Means for Your Portfolio: Futures vs. Physical Gold

The dramatic swings you’ve seen in the headlines were primarily a function of the futures market. It’s crucial for investors to understand the difference between this and other forms of gold investment.

  • Gold Futures: These are financial contracts used by professional traders and speculators to bet on the short-term direction of gold’s price. They are a high-risk, high-leverage tool and are generally not suitable for long-term investors or retirees focused on wealth preservation.
  • Physical Gold: This refers to buying and holding tangible gold, such as coins or bars, as a long-term asset. This form of gold is less sensitive to the daily speculation that moves the futures market. Physical gold is often used as a hedge against inflation and a reliable store of value during times of economic uncertainty.

The purpose of your gold investment should always come before performance. Whether you’re buying it for protection against a financial crisis, as an inflation hedge, or for market exposure, the type of gold you hold and your strategy should be aligned with your goals.

How Agemy Financial Strategies Can Help

At Agemy Financial Strategies, we believe every investment decision should start with a clear purpose. Gold can play a valuable role in a diversified portfolio, but only if it’s aligned with your broader retirement strategy.

Our fiduciary advisors can help you:

  • Determine whether gold fits into your long-term plan.
  • Select the right type of gold exposure for your goals: physical, ETF, or alternative vehicles.
  • Build a balanced, income-focused plan that supports your lifestyle in retirement.

In times of market uncertainty, we’re here to help you make confident, informed decisions.

Contact us today for a complimentary Retirement Readiness Review to discuss how gold and other diversification strategies can strengthen your financial plan.

Frequently Asked Questions About Gold Investing

  1. Is gold a good investment for retirement? Gold can be a useful part of a diversified retirement portfolio, especially as a hedge against inflation or currency risk. However, it generally doesn’t generate income and should be balanced with income-producing assets.

  2. What’s the safest way to own gold? For wealth preservation, physical gold in the form of recognizable coins (like American Gold Eagles) stored in a secure, accessible location is best. If your goal is market exposure rather than physical possession, consider allocated gold ETFs.

  3. What’s the difference between allocated and unallocated gold ETFs? Allocated gold ETFs hold specific gold bars in your name, giving you direct ownership. Unallocated ETFs represent a claim on gold but aren’t tied to specific bars, meaning in a crisis, you may not receive physical gold.

  4. Are gold mining stocks a good alternative to physical gold? Gold miners can offer leverage to gold price movements and potential dividends, but they are far more volatile and can underperform badly in down cycles. They work best for short-term, cycle-based strategies, not long-term wealth preservation.

  5. How much gold should I have in my portfolio? This depends on your goals and risk tolerance, but for most retirement-focused investors, gold allocations range between 5–10% of the portfolio. Too much gold can limit your income potential and overall diversification.

Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. Please consult with the fiduciary advisors at Agemy Financial Strategies before making any investment decisions.

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What HNW Retirees Need to Know About Reduced Social Security Payments, Deductions & Roth Planning

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In July 2025, millions of seniors across the U.S. saw their Social Security checks shrink, but not due to inflation or political battles. Instead, this reduction stems from the Social Security Administration’s effort to recoup overpayments made to recipients. For many Americans, this is causing stress, confusion, and financial uncertainty.

Even for high-net-worth individuals (HNWIs) entering or navigating retirement, this news might feel far removed, especially since Social Security payments should be a smaller supplementation for retirement income wealth. But that would be a costly assumption. These changes are just the tip of the iceberg in a shifting landscape of retirement tax policy, income strategy, and Medicare planning, each of which has significant consequences for affluent retirees.

At Agemy Financial Strategies, we believe informed, proactive planning is essential, especially when your retirement success depends on strategic coordination between income, tax, and estate planning.

Let’s break down the recent developments, what they mean for HNW retirees, and how to build a resilient retirement strategy amid uncertainty.

The Reality Behind Reduced Social Security Checks in 2025

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The Social Security Administration (SSA) has started withholding up to 50% of monthly benefits to recoup past overpayments. These overpayments often result from changes in income that weren’t properly reported or miscalculations on the SSA’s end. While unfortunate, the SSA is legally obligated to reclaim these funds.

What HNW Retirees Should Know:

  • You may be overpaid without realizing it. If your income fluctuated in the past few years due to capital gains, distributions, or asset sales, you might be impacted, even if it wasn’t your fault.
  • Recourse is available. If you were overpaid, the SSA offers options such as repayment plans, waivers, or reconsideration appeals. However, these require proactive engagement.

✅ Tip: Set up and regularly check your “My Social Security” account to confirm your benefit estimate and payment amounts. Early detection is critical to avoiding unpleasant surprises.

While this repayment policy mostly affects lower- and middle-income retirees, the implications extend to HNWIs who:

Are Capital Gains From Selling a Home Counted Toward Social Security Earnings?

For many retirees, downsizing or liquidating appreciated real estate is part of a broader wealth strategy. A common concern is whether this triggers a reduction in Social Security benefits.

Good news:Capital gains are not classified as earned income for Social Security purposes. So, selling your home won’t reduce your benefits directly.

However, there’s a catch…

Understanding Provisional Income and the Hidden Tax on Social Security

While capital gains don’t reduce benefits, they do impact how much of your Social Security benefit is subject to income tax. The government uses a formula known as provisional income, which includes:

  • Adjusted Gross Income (AGI)
  • Municipal bond interest
  • 50% of Social Security benefits

Why HNWIs Should Pay Attention:

If your provisional income exceeds the thresholds ($32,000 for individuals or $44,000 for couples), up to 85% of your Social Security benefits may be taxable.

Add this to required minimum distributions (RMDs), capital gains, rental income, or Roth conversions, and you may find yourself in a higher marginal tax bracket than you anticipated.

A New Senior Deduction – But There’s a Catch for Wealthier Retirees

Beginning this year, Americans aged 65 and older are eligible for a new $6,000 tax deduction per person, or $12,000 per couple. It’s a welcome change designed to reduce taxable income for seniors, but it comes with key limitations that disproportionately affect HNWIs.

Key Details:

  • The deduction is age-based, not benefit-based.
  • It is not refundable, meaning it can’t generate a refund beyond your taxable income.
  • It is available to both itemizers and standard deduction filers.
  • Phaseout begins at $150,000 of modified adjusted gross income (MAGI) for joint filers and disappears entirely at $250,000.

What This Means for HNWIs:

If your MAGI exceeds $150,000, your deduction begins to phase out. This can happen quickly, especially when you:

The Roth Conversion Tax Cliff for HNW Seniors

Social Security Updates

Roth IRA conversions are often a cornerstone strategy for tax diversification in retirement. But now, the new senior deduction creates a “tax cliff” for those making Roth conversions post-65.

Example:

A couple over age 65 with $150,000 of MAGI qualifies for the full $12,000 deduction, saving them around $2,640 in taxes. But a $100,000 Roth conversion could spike their income to $250,000, eliminating the deduction and possibly pushing them into a 22% or higher tax bracket.

This seemingly smart tax move becomes significantly less attractive when the deduction is lost and higher Medicare premiums are triggered.

✅ Agemy Insight: Roth conversions must be modeled carefully and possibly executed before age 65, or done incrementally to avoid deduction phaseouts and IRMAA surcharges (Medicare premium hikes).

Medicare Premiums and the Two-Year Lag Effect

Another important factor is how income changes, like those from Roth conversions or asset sales, affect your Medicare Part B and D premiums. Known as IRMAA (Income-Related Monthly Adjustment Amount), these premiums are determined using your income from two years ago.

So in 2025, Medicare premiums are based on 2023 tax returns.

Why This Matters:

If you had unusually high income two years ago (e.g., business sale, Roth conversion, capital gains), your Medicare premiums may increase regardless of your current income.

With Medicare premiums expected to jump 11% to over $200/month in 2025, even small increases in AGI can result in thousands of dollars in avoidable costs over the course of retirement.

Strategic Planning Opportunities for HNW Retirees

Social Security Updates

The convergence of these factors, Social Security recoupment, new tax deductions, income phaseouts, and Medicare surcharges, requires strategic foresight, especially for affluent retirees.

At Agemy Financial Strategies, our fiduciary team is highly experienced in designing coordinated retirement income and tax strategies for high-net-worth clients. Here are some of the proactive moves we recommend:

1. Income Modeling & Timing Roth Conversions

  • Avoid triggering the senior deduction phaseout or unnecessary IRMAA brackets.
  • Convert smaller amounts annually before age 65 or during lower-income years.

2. Charitable Giving Strategies

3. Tax-Efficient Withdrawal Planning

  • Coordinate distributions between taxable, tax-deferred, and Roth accounts to manage MAGI.
  • Delay or accelerate withdrawals depending on tax thresholds.

4. Estate & Trust Planning

  • Reassess estate structures to help minimize tax exposure for heirs.
  • Consider spousal and generational trusts for efficient wealth transfer while helping to preserve income-based benefits.

5. Social Security Optimization

  • Coordinate spousal claiming strategies.
  • Consider delayed claiming to help maximize benefits while minimizing taxable income.

The Bottom Line

The evolving Social Security and tax landscape in 2025 brings a mix of new opportunities and potential traps for high-net-worth retirees. While it’s easy to assume that some changes, like reduced benefit checks, won’t impact you directly, their ripple effects across tax planning, Medicare, and estate strategy can be profound.

At Agemy Financial Strategies, our fiduciary advisors are here to help you navigate these complexities with confidence. Whether you’re considering a Roth conversion, concerned about your tax bracket in retirement, or want to ensure your Medicare premiums stay in check, we’re here to craft a plan tailored to your goals.

Social Security Updates

📞 Ready to take control of your financial future?

Schedule a personalized consultation with our team today, and let’s optimize your retirement with clarity, confidence, and strategy.

👉 Contact us today at agemy.com. 

Frequently Asked Questions

FAQ #1: How do I know if I’ve been overpaid by Social Security?

The best way to verify your Social Security payment is to regularly review your benefits through your “My Social Security” account on the SSA’s website. This portal shows your payment history, expected benefits, and current disbursement amounts. If there’s a discrepancy or unexpected reduction in your check, it could signal an overpayment or administrative correction. Being proactive helps you avoid major clawbacks or the 50% withholding policy now in place.

FAQ #2: I plan to sell an investment property. Will that affect my Social Security benefits?

Capital gains from the sale of a home or investment property do not count as earned income for Social Security benefit eligibility. However, these gains do increase your adjusted gross income (AGI), which can lead to higher taxation on your Social Security benefits and may also affect your Medicare premiums. Strategic tax planning can help mitigate these effects.

FAQ #3: Should I avoid Roth conversions after age 65 because of the new senior deduction phaseout?

Not necessarily, but timing and strategy are crucial. Converting large amounts to a Roth IRA after 65 can increase your modified adjusted gross income (MAGI), causing you to lose eligibility for the new $6,000 senior deduction and trigger higher tax brackets or Medicare premiums. For many HNWIs, it may be more efficient to start converting before age 65 or spread conversions over multiple years to avoid the “tax cliff.”

FAQ #4: Can the new senior deduction help lower my Medicare premiums?

Yes, potentially. The $6,000 deduction per person (or $12,000 per couple) reduces your adjusted gross income, which may lower your IRMAA-adjusted Medicare Part B and D premiums, but there’s a two-year lag. Your 2025 premiums are based on your 2023 income. Therefore, the deduction’s effect won’t be felt in Medicare costs until two years after you claim it. Strategic income reduction now can yield Medicare savings down the line.

FAQ #5: As a high-income retiree, how can I optimize my retirement income while minimizing taxes and penalties?

For HNW retirees, an optimized strategy involves coordinating Social Security timing, Roth conversions, investment withdrawals, and charitable giving. Tools like Qualified Charitable Distributions (QCDs), donor-advised funds, and multi-year tax projections help minimize tax exposure. Working with a fiduciary advisor, like those at Agemy Financial Strategies, helps ensure your retirement plan adjusts to evolving tax laws, preserves wealth, and maximizes income efficiency.

Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. Please consult with the fiduciary advisors at Agemy Financial Strategies before making any investment decisions.

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Are You a Speculator or an Investor?

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Understanding the Difference Can Make or Break Your Retirement

You’ve worked hard to build a nest egg. Maybe you’ve recently retired or are planning to. You have savings, a 401(k), maybe even a buyout offer or pension lump sum, and now you’re asking the million-dollar question:

How should I invest this money to last the rest of my life?

Too many retirees fall into a trap: they think they’re investing when they’re really speculating, and that mistake can lead to stress, losses, and the fear of running out of money.

At Agemy Financial Strategies, we’ve spent over 30 years helping people retire and stay retired. One of the most important conversations we have with new clients is this: Are you a speculator or an investor? Understanding this distinction isn’t just financial jargon; it’s critical to helping protect your retirement lifestyle.

What’s the Real Difference?

Let’s get clear on what these terms actually mean. The financial world uses them loosely, but at Agemy, we define them in a simple, meaningful way:

✅ Investor:

An investor puts money into assets that produce consistent, predictable income, regardless of short-term price movements. Think dividends, interest, rental income, or fixed-income strategies. You don’t have to “hope” for gains; your money is working for you now.

❌ Speculator:

A speculator puts money into assets hoping they’ll go up in value. There’s no guaranteed return. Speculators often chase “hot stocks,” time the market, or follow media hype, trying to buy low and sell high.

A Tale of Two Retirees: George and Betty

Imagine George. He’s just taken an early retirement package and received a sizeable lump sum. Excited but unsure, he turns on a financial news network. A panel of TV “experts” enthusiastically recommends a trending tech stock. George jumps online and buys it.

Six months later, the stock has tanked.

George is confused. He thought he was investing. But what he really did was speculate. He acted on a tip, without understanding the fundamentals of the company or having an income strategy in place.

Meanwhile, his friend Betty took the same buyout but worked with a fiduciary. Her retirement portfolio pays her $70,000 a year in steady income through interest, dividends, and other reliable sources. Her plan isn’t flashy, but it’s dependable.

George is hoping.

Betty is planning.

Why This Matters More in Retirement

Before retirement, time is on your side. You can ride out volatility, recover from losses, and afford to take risks. But in retirement, the rules change. You’re no longer adding to your portfolio; you’re drawing from it. And that makes every decision matter.

Here’s what happens when retirees continue to speculate instead of invest:

  • They may see their portfolio grow during good years, only to suffer big losses during market downturns.
  • If those losses occur early in retirement, they can permanently reduce the income their portfolio can generate (this is called sequence-of-returns risk).
  • They start withdrawing principal, not income, which can drain their savings faster than expected.

The Biggest Retirement Fear Is Real

According to a study by the Employee Benefit Research Institute, more than 40% of retirees fear outliving their money. That fear is justified, especially when portfolios are overly reliant on market growth instead of income.

At Agemy Financial Strategies, we believe retirement should not be a gamble. It should be a strategy.

TR = I + G: The Formula for Retirement Success

One concept we teach frequently is simple but powerful:

Total Return = Income + Growth (TR = I + G)

Too many people focus only on growth. But if your account grows without producing income, you’re relying on hope.

A Strong Retirement Strategy Includes:

  • I (Income): Regular, predictable payments from interest, dividends, rental income, annuities, or structured notes.
  • G (Growth): Moderate, stable growth to keep pace with inflation and allow for future flexibility.

You need both, but income becomes the priority in retirement. After all, you can’t spend percentage points or stock charts; you spend cash.

How Financial Media Leads You Astray

TV finance programs, online blogs, and social media influencers often blur the lines between investing and speculating. They present tips, trends, and trade ideas under the guise of “investment advice,” when really, they’re offering entertainment.

These media outlets don’t know your goals, your risk tolerance, or your timeline. And many of the “experts” already own the stocks they’re hyping. They profit when you jump in after them, providing liquidity for their exit.

The result? People like George buy high, sell low, and repeat the cycle.

Are You Aligned With Your Goals?

One of the most common disconnects we see is between what people say they want and how their portfolios are actually structured.

  • A client says, “I’m conservative,” but 85% of their portfolio is in high-risk mutual funds.
  • Another says, “I want income,” but everything they own requires capital appreciation to pay off.

This is what we call incongruence. And it’s dangerous.

When markets drop and fear kicks in, people realize their portfolios don’t match their comfort zone. They sell at the wrong time, miss the recovery, and lock in losses.

That’s why clarity and congruence are essential to retirement planning.

Self-Assessment: Are You a Speculator or an Investor?

Take a few minutes to ask yourself these five key questions:

  1. What is your primary investment goal?
    a. Generate steady income
    b. Grow wealth slowly
    c. Make quick profits through market timing

  2. How often do you check your investments?
    a. Once a quarter
    b. Monthly
    c. Daily or with every market swing

  3. What is your typical holding period for an investment?
    a. Several years
    b. One to two years
    c. A few weeks or months

  4. How do you respond to market volatility?
    a. Stay calm and stick to the plan
    b. Get anxious, but try to wait it out
    c. Panic and sell quickly

  5. What’s more important to you in retirement?
    a. Income that covers your lifestyle
    b. Higher returns
    c. Beating the market

If most of your answers were A, you’re likely an investor. If they were mostly C, you’re likely a speculator, even if you didn’t realize it. And if most of your answers were B, you fall into what we might call the “Hybrid Investor” category. You’re not fully speculative, but you’re also not fully income-focused.

You Can Have a Play Account, Just Keep It Small

At Agemy Financial Strategies, we don’t believe speculation is inherently bad. In fact, some of our clients have small “fun money” accounts they use to buy individual stocks or chase growth ideas.

But we always separate that from their core retirement portfolio. That portfolio must:

  • Provide income
  • Protect principal
  • Last as long as they do

Speculation can be entertainment. Your retirement strategy should be your lifeline.

Why Working With a Fiduciary Matters

We’ve seen countless examples where people unknowingly received guidance from advisors who don’t differentiate between speculation and investing. Or worse, they sell products based on commissions, not client outcomes.

At Agemy Financial Strategies, our advisors are fiduciaries. That means we are legally and ethically bound to act in your best interest, not ours.

We view our role as your CFO, while you remain the CEO of your finances. We bring clarity, structure, and strategies designed around your goals, risk tolerance, and timeline.

You’ve worked hard for your money. It’s time your money worked just as hard for you.

The Path Forward: Income, Clarity, Confidence

Your retirement years should be full of freedom, not fear. And they certainly shouldn’t depend on guessing what the market will do next.

If you’re within 5–10 years of retirement, or already there, now is the time to pivot toward:

Let us help you align your money with your mission and build a plan that pays you to live the retirement you deserve.

Final Thoughts: Build a Retirement Strategy That Works for You

Whether you’re a steady income investor, a hopeful speculator, or somewhere in between, the key to a successful retirement isn’t luck; it’s alignment. Your investment strategy should reflect your goals, your lifestyle, and your need for reliable, long-term income.

At Agemy Financial Strategies, we believe retirement should be about freedom, not financial uncertainty. That’s why we focus on educating and empowering our clients to understand where they stand—so they can take control of where they’re going.

Speculation has its place, but your core retirement plan should be grounded in confidence, not hope.

Let our team help you answer the question: Are you a speculator or an investor, and is your money working the way it should?

Visitwww.agemy.com to schedule your complimentary retirement review.

We’ll help you build a personalized strategy that prioritizes what matters most: security, income, and peace of mind.

Retire with purpose. Stay retired with confidence. That’s the Agemy way.

FAQs: Understanding Speculation vs. Investing in Retirement

1. What’s the main risk of speculating in retirement?
Speculation involves putting your money into assets that may or may not increase in value, often without generating income. In retirement, this strategy can be especially risky because losses can derail your income plan, and you may not have time to recover. If the market drops early in retirement, you could be forced to withdraw from a declining portfolio, increasing the risk of outliving your money.

2. Is it okay to have a portion of my portfolio in speculative assets?
Yes, but with caution. Some retirees choose to allocate a small percentage of their portfolio (often called a “play account”) for speculative opportunities. The key is to ensure your core retirement strategy is built around income, safety, and consistency. Speculation should never be the foundation of your retirement plan.

3. How can I tell if I’m investing or speculating?
Ask yourself: Does this asset pay me regularly? If not, you’re likely speculating. True investments, such as dividend-paying stocks, bonds, or income-generating real estate, provide predictable returns. If your portfolio relies solely on asset growth and market timing, you’re taking a speculative approach, even if unintentionally.

4. Can income-based investing still offer growth potential?
Absolutely. At Agemy Financial Strategies, we help clients design income-first portfolios that also include moderate, sustainable growth. The goal isn’t to eliminate growth, but to prioritize reliable income, then layer in growth for flexibility and inflation protection.

5. Why is working with a fiduciary so important for retirees?
A fiduciary is legally obligated to act in your best interest. Many financial salespeople push speculative products for commissions, not because they align with your retirement goals. At Agemy, we’re fiduciaries who focus on educating and guiding clients toward investment strategies that prioritize income, risk management, and long-term retirement success.

Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. Please consult with the fiduciary advisors at Agemy Financial Strategies before making any investment decisions.

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Is Your Retirement Strategy Built for an ‘Anything Can Happen’ Financial Landscape?

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Ongoing reports and headlines highlight a mixed economic outlook, with some sectors showing resilience while others face headwinds due to tariffs and uncertainty.

The recent contraction of the U.S. economy by 0.3% in the first quarter of 2025 may appear modest on paper, but for individuals approaching or in retirement, it can serve as a key signal. Even small shifts in economic indicators can have ripple effects across investment markets, interest rates, consumer confidence, and ultimately, your retirement income security.

At Agemy Financial Strategies, we understand that affluent retirees and pre-retirees can’t afford to make reactive decisions based on short-term headlines. Instead, it’s about strategic foresight, proper risk management, and intentional wealth preservation. Here’s what you need to know.

A Closer Look at the Q1 Contraction

The 0.3% dip in GDP followed a period of steady growth, raising concerns about the broader economic trend. Here’s what contributed to the slowdown:

While these may seem like economic metrics for policymakers, they directly relate to retirement strategies, especially for those with significant assets at stake.

Key Areas Where Economic Slowdowns Impact Your Retirement Plan

1. Investment Strategy and Portfolio Diversification

Volatility and contractions in the economy often hit equity markets first—and hardest. For retirees, the priority isn’t chasing returns, but protecting wealth while maintaining sufficient growth.

  • Evaluate your exposure to equities, bonds, and alternative assets.
  • Consider dividend-generating or inflation-hedged investments.
  • Avoid the “sequence of returns” risk by maintaining enough cash or liquid assets to help avoid drawing down principal during market dips.

Agemy Financial Strategies can help review your current allocation and stress test your portfolio against different market scenarios.

2. Interest Rates, Inflation, and Income Streams

In a cooling economy, the Fed may shift to lower interest rates to encourage spending. While this could help borrowing costs, it also has implications for:

  • Fixed-income yields (which may decline)
  • Inflation pressures, especially if supply-chain constraints persist
  • Real purchasing power, particularly for retirees on fixed incomes

It’s essential to align your income strategy with both current interest rates and inflation forecasts. Agemy helps clients integrate TIPS, laddered bonds, and diversified income vehicles to protect purchasing power.

3. Tax Planning in an Evolving Landscape

Lower GDP often prompts fiscal policy adjustments, including potential tax reforms. As your retirement income sources vary—from IRAs to pensions to capital gains—it’s important to assess how changing tax rates might impact:

Our fiduciary advisors at Agemy are experienced in proactive tax strategy to help ensure your income remains as tax-efficient as possible, no matter the economic cycle.

4. Estate Planning Amid Market Volatility

A drop in asset values might affect the total size of your estate. If this impacts your legacy goals, it may be time to:

Volatility can create estate planning opportunities, especially if you anticipate a market rebound or plan to transfer assets to heirs soon.

5. Rising Healthcare Costs and Longevity Risk

In times of economic pressure, federal healthcare funding could face cuts. Meanwhile, costs for long-term care and medical expenses continue to rise, regardless of the economic climate.

A sound retirement plan must account for:

  • Long-term care insurance
  • Health Savings Accounts (HSAs)
  • Medicare and supplemental coverage strategies

Planning for healthcare costs early can help prevent sudden financial strain later.

How to Navigate Economic Uncertainty with Confidence

1. Conduct Regular Portfolio Checkups

Just like your annual physical, your portfolio needs a checkup too. Reviewing it during times of uncertainty helps ensure you’re not overexposed to risk and that your investments are working in your favor.

2. Reaffirm Your Financial Goals

Are your current retirement strategies still aligned with your goals? As economic conditions shift, your financial objectives might need to be adjusted. Agemy’s advisors can help you identify blind spots and fine-tune your plan.

3. Maintain a Long-Term Perspective

Economic contractions, no matter how uncomfortable, are part of a normal business cycle. Staying the course and focusing on your long-term goals helps avoid impulsive decisions that can hurt your retirement outlook.

4. Work with a Trusted Fiduciary Partner

At Agemy Financial Strategies, our fiduciary duty is to put your best interests first. We offer personalized wealth planning that evolves with you and the broader market landscape.

Final Thoughts: Your Retirement Deserves a Resilient Strategy

The 0.3% GDP contraction in Q1 2025 is a reminder that even mild economic changes can have real implications for those nearing retirement. The good news? You don’t have to navigate this alone.

With over 30 years of experience guiding clients through all market conditions, Agemy Financial Strategies helps affluent families, professionals, and retirees adapt, preserve, and grow their wealth in the face of change.

How Agemy Financial Strategies Can Help

In uncertain economic times, your retirement strategy needs more than guesswork—it requires deep knowledge, personalization, and foresight. That’s where Agemy Financial Strategies comes in.

With over three decades of experience guiding affluent individuals and families, our team provides comprehensive, fiduciary-based financial planning focused on long-term security and short-term flexibility.

Here’s how we help you stay on course—even when the economy wavers:

  • Customized Retirement Income Planning: We analyze all your income streams—Social Security, pensions, investments—and structure a reliable, tax-efficient plan to help cover your expenses for life.
  • Strategic Investment Management: Our advisors actively monitor market conditions and adjust your investment mix to help protect against downside risk while capturing growth opportunities when available.
  • Proactive Tax Optimization: We build tax strategies into every part of your plan, including Roth conversions, tax-loss harvesting, and distribution planning to help you keep more of what you’ve earned.
  • Healthcare & Long-Term Care Strategy: Rising healthcare costs are one of retirement’s biggest threats. We help you prepare with smart coverage options, LTC planning, and health savings strategies.
  • Legacy and Estate Planning Coordination: Your wealth should support not only your lifestyle but also your legacy. We collaborate with estate attorneys and CPAs to help align your goals with your estate structure.
  • Stress Testing for Peace of Mind: We run your plan through multiple economic and market scenarios to help ensure your strategy holds up, even if the economy doesn’t.

A Plan That Evolves as Life and the Market Do

At Agemy Financial Strategies, we don’t believe in one-size-fits-all retirement planning. Instead, we take time to understand your lifestyle, your priorities, and your legacy goals, building a roadmap that adapts with you and the world around you.

Ready to strengthen your retirement plan with a team that puts your best interests first?

Schedule a no-obligation consultation today, and let’s build a future that’s as resilient as it is rewarding.

Frequently Asked Questions

Q: What if my retirement portfolio lost value due to the Q1 slowdown?
A: Don’t panic. Reassess your asset allocation and consult with a fiduciary advisor. Market dips can be an opportunity for rebalancing and tax optimization.

Q: Should I consider a Roth conversion now?
A: If you anticipate higher taxes later or if your portfolio temporarily dips, a Roth conversion may be advantageous. Always consult with your advisor before moving forward.

Q: How can I help protect against inflation in retirement?
A: Diversify into inflation-resistant assets like TIPS or real estate. Consider dynamic withdrawal strategies that adjust to inflation.

Q: What healthcare costs should I plan for in retirement?
A: Medicare, supplemental insurance, and long-term care expenses. Begin planning early to help ensure you can cover these costs without compromising your lifestyle.

Q: Is now a good time to gift assets to my heirs?
A: If asset values are temporarily down, it could be an ideal time to transfer wealth while minimizing tax implications. Discuss this with your financial advisor.

Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. Please consult with the fiduciary advisors at Agemy Financial Strategies before making any investment decisions.

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Earning Income from Your Investments: A Guide to Retirement Stability

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One of the biggest questions you may face nearing retirement is how to generate and secure a stable income. This challenge is further highlighted by a study from the National Council of Aging, which found that 80% of households with older adults—or 47 million—are struggling financially today or at risk of falling into economic insecurity as they age. 

Shifting from building wealth to preserving it while generating income requires a thoughtful, strategic approach. It’s about aligning your financial plan with your goals and risk tolerance to help ensure stability in this next chapter of life. In this blog, we’ll dive into effective investment strategies for income generation, key retirement considerations, and how to navigate this pivotal phase of financial planning confidently.

Understanding Income-Generating Investments

Income-generating investments are financial assets designed to help produce regular cash flow, providing the investor with a steady income stream. They are particularly beneficial for retirees, individuals seeking passive income, or anyone looking to supplement their earnings without selling their principal assets. Income-generating investments come in various forms, with distinct features, benefits, and risks.

  1. Dividend-Paying Stocks

Dividend-paying stocks allow investors to earn regular income through a share of a company’s profits, typically distributed quarterly. These payments can serve as a potential income stream for investors looking to supplement other sources of retirement income. However, dividend stocks offer more than just income—they can also help contribute to portfolio growth if the dividends are reinvested, allowing investors to benefit from compounding over time.

It’s important to note not all dividend stocks are created equal. While high-dividend yields can be attractive, they may signal potential risks. Instead of focusing solely on yield, consider companies with a proven track record of stable or growing dividend payouts. These are often well-established firms in sectors like utilities, consumer goods, or healthcare, which tend to perform consistently regardless of economic conditions.

  1. Bonds and Fixed-Income Securities

Bonds and fixed-income securities are investment vehicles where an investor lends money to an entity—typically a government, municipality, or corporation—in exchange for periodic interest payments and the eventual return of the principal at maturity. These investments are a cornerstone of income generation due to their predictability and relative safety, especially when compared to equity investments.

  1. Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)

REITs can help provide exposure to real estate without the need for property ownership. One of REITs’ most compelling features is their mandatory taxable income distribution. By law, REITs must distribute at least 90% of their taxable income to shareholders through dividends, which often results in higher yields than traditional stocks. This makes REITs an attractive option for retirees seeking consistent income.

Here’s a look at different types of REITs

  • Equity REITs: Own and manage income-generating properties.
  • Mortgage REITs: Invest in mortgages or mortgage-backed securities, earning income through interest payments.
  • Hybrid REITs: Combine the characteristics of both equity and mortgage REITs.

REITs are a great investment tool. However, like any investment, REITs are not without risks. Market fluctuations, interest rate changes, and property market downturns can impact returns. A fiduciary can help you navigate REITs and alternative investments so they can better fit into your overall financial plan.

4. Certain Annuities

Certain annuities can offer a consistent income stream for life or a specific period. They are particularly appealing to individuals who value predictability, although it’s important to evaluate fees and terms carefully.

  • Fees: Some annuities have high fees, including administrative costs, surrender charges, and commissions.
  • Liquidity: Funds invested in annuities may not be easily accessible without penalties, making them less suitable for emergencies.
  • Complex Terms: Understanding the fine print is essential to help avoid unexpected limitations or costs.

To help maximize the benefits of annuities, it’s essential to evaluate terms carefully and consider how they fit into a broader financial plan. Working with a fiduciary financial advisor can help ensure that you select annuities that align with your retirement goals and financial needs.

Key Considerations for Income Planning in Retirement

  1. Longevity Risk

Longevity is a key consideration in retirement planning, as the risk of outliving your savings is a common concern. Ensuring your income streams last throughout your retirement is essential for financial security. To address this challenge, strategies like structured withdrawal plans or income-generating investments can help provide a reliable foundation and help mitigate the risk of running out of funds.

  1. Inflation Protection

Rising costs can erode your purchasing power over time. Investments like dividend-paying stocks and Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) can help counter inflation.

  1. Tax Efficiency

Taxes can significantly impact your investment income. Strategies like utilizing tax-advantaged accounts or focusing on tax-efficient investments like municipal bonds can help reduce your tax burden.

  1. Market Volatility

Retirees often feel more vulnerable to market downturns, especially when drawing income. Employing a mix of fixed-income securities and growth-oriented assets can help weather potential market volatility.

  1. Diversification

Relying too heavily on one type of investment can expose you to undue risk. Diversification helps spread risk across asset classes and helps balance growth and income generation. For example, a diversified portfolio might include:

  • Dividend-paying stocks for growth and income.
  • Bonds for stability and predictable interest payments.
  • REITs to capture real estate income potential.

Balancing these assets can help mitigate market fluctuations while providing consistent income.

Building a Retirement Income Strategy 

A well-structured income strategy aligns your financial portfolio with your goals, time horizon, and risk tolerance. Here’s how you can approach it.

Step 1: Evaluate Your Expenses

Understanding your expenses is the foundation of any retirement income plan. Begin by categorizing your expenses into two main types:

  • Fixed Expenses: Necessities like housing, utilities, insurance, healthcare, and groceries. These costs are consistent and must be covered by reliable income sources.
  • Discretionary Expenses: These include non-essential but important spending like travel, hobbies, dining out, and gifts. These can fluctuate based on your lifestyle and budget.

Step 2: Estimate Retirement Income Sources

Factor in income from all guaranteed and potential sources available in retirement. Identify the gap between your income needs and guaranteed sources. These might include:

  • Social Security: Calculate your benefits based on your age and work history. Delaying benefits beyond your full retirement age can increase monthly payouts.
  • Pensions: If applicable, confirm your pension payout structure and any survivor benefits.
  • Other Guaranteed Income: Include annuities or income from rental properties.

Once you have tallied these sources, compare them to your budget. This step will help identify any income gaps that need to be addressed through investments or other financial strategies. Understanding the shortfall provides a clear goal for how much supplemental income your portfolio must generate.

Step 3: Create an Income Floor

An income floor is a baseline amount required to cover your essential expenses. To establish this floor, focus on stable income-generating investments such as:

  • Bonds: Invest in high-quality government or corporate bonds with predictable interest payments.
  • Annuities: Consider fixed annuities that provide guaranteed income for a specified period.
  • Certificates of Deposit (CDs): These offer secure, interest-based income for conservative investors.

The goal is to help ensure your basic needs are met regardless of market conditions, providing peace of mind and reducing reliance on higher-risk investments for essential expenses.

Step 4: Incorporate Growth Investments

While income stability is a priority, inflation can erode the purchasing power of your money over time. To counter this, maintain a portion of your portfolio in growth-oriented assets, such as:

  • Equities (Stocks): Invest in dividend-paying or growth stocks to attract capital appreciation.
  • Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and Mutual Funds: These can provide diversification and exposure to sectors likely to grow with the economy.
  • Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs): REITs offer growth potential through appreciation and regular dividend income.

Growth investments help your portfolio stay ahead of inflation, helping you maintain your standard of living throughout retirement. Balancing these with income-generating assets is essential to manage risk while achieving long-term growth.

Step 5: Review and Adjust Regularly

Retirement income planning is not static. Your financial needs, market conditions, and the broader economic environment will evolve. Partnering with a fiduciary advisor to regularly review your retirement income plan helps confirm it aligns with your broader financial goals.

How Agemy Financial Strategies Can Help 

With a commitment to trust, transparency, and personalized care, Agemy Financial Strategies is here to help you navigate the complexities of retirement income planning. We help investors navigate the complexities of generating stable income during retirement. Here’s how we can support your journey:

  • Tailored Income Strategies: We develop customized plans based on your unique financial goals and risk tolerance, helping you create a balanced income generation and wealth preservation approach. 
  • Proactive Portfolio Management: We conduct regular portfolio reviews to help optimize your investment performance and adjust strategies based on market trends and changing priorities.
  • Tax-Efficient Planning: Our fiduciaries explore and implement various tax strategies to help optimize your income and minimize tax impact.
  • Risk Management: Your portfolio is continuously assessed and adjusted to align with your comfort level and long-term financial objectives.

Retirement is not the time to set your investments on autopilot. With our award-winning fiduciaries, you’ll have the tools and support to help make informed decisions and secure your financial future.

Final Thoughts

Earning income from investments is a cornerstone of retirement stability. You can enjoy a more financially secure and fulfilling retirement by leveraging diverse income-generating assets, managing risks effectively, and creating a personalized strategy. Agemy Financial Strategies is here to guide you every step of the way.

Contact us today to explore how we can help tailor your retirement plan to your unique financial landscape.

Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as specific investment advice. Please consult the qualified financial professionals at Agemy Financial Strategies before making investment decisions.

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